Week 7: Cinci @ KC

INTRO: our gambling analysis happens over g-chat while we work at our separate jobs several thousand miles apart. slindblo’s chats are in blue on the left, rj_gray’s are in purple and on the right.

Current line: KC -6, O/U 56.5

down to business

line is KC -6, O/U 56.5

I dont think there is anyway the bengals beat the chiefs 

which makes me nervous that i think that

well i think a better question is: do you think they can keep it close

i think the bengals are good

they beat the ravens

but they did lose to the panthers

but in my head they are still the bengals 

last week is heartbreaking

i think they are down 3 def starters

so both bad defenses

who has the better O


thats an obvious answer

chiefs and bengals both had gut wrenching losses last week

bengals blew it and chiefs had a great comeback that fell short
they both have such bad defenses 

i have to believe it will be a shootout

and i just dont think the bengals can keep up
i’d say is the over is a no brainer but scoring has been weird this week

and recency bias

and you can’t bet the under on a game like this

that would ruin the game

no way
and betting is supposed to be fun
so we agree we’re going to pick a side on the spread
i cant find anything that supports the bengals winning here which makes me think they have a hard time covering

both teams have let up more yards than they have put up

KC D great on 3rd down though

bengals dont have a run game

mixon has been doing ok

i forgot about him, im just looking at season stats

he might be the key matchup

because KC’s run D is ranked 27th

chiefs have won both home games by a combined 13.5 points

all their wins avg 9+ point victories

they are at home

i think the chiefs are a better team and i think they cover

i’ll take chiefs -6

dalton 2-8 in last 10 night games

the stats and the gut agree on this one

chiefs -6


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