Week 8: PHI @ JAC (London Edition)

INTRO: our gambling analysis happens over g-chat while we work at our separate jobs several thousand miles apart. slindblo’s chats are in blue on the left, rj_gray’s are in purple and on the right.

Current line: PHI -3.5, O/U 43


i almost thought “ohh home dog bet” 

and fell for my own trick

but it’s in london

haha yeah they are both over the “pond”

btw

i hate when people say that

yeah it’s played

the big question mark here is will the jags turn it around because they hit rock bottom last week, or are they done

i thought the cowboys game was rock bottom but then they went lower

i think sitting blake was humbling

however

i dont think they beat the eagles

wait

scratch that

eagles lost to Car

there is a big mismatch that favors philly

philly’s run d is one of the best in the league

that means blake needs to win with his arm

and that does not bode well for the jags

woof

hes shook

i think doug pederson is shook a bit too

they dont play well as favourites

and he’s trying to rebrand them as underdogs

being underdogs was their mentality last year

thats how they won

dog masks and all

rebranding the defending super bowl champs as underdogs is ridiculous
yeah so which team can rebound
ugh this one is so hard

i dont think philly’s offense is that good

and the jags d is still p good, even though they arent playing as well as they should

the texans proved they have a pretty good O and the jags held them to 20

philly cant run

so they cant close out games

but neither can jax

and jax cant throw

phi -3.5 is a tough line

that almost makes me lean Jax

ok jags havent even been able to keep it close

13 point loss
33 point loss
16 point loss

as much as i hate losing all these under bets i keep making

this has that under feeling to it

i hate this game

the only way to go all in on a game you hate is to bet the under

i dont think Jax has it figured out

both QBs taking reps

eagles at least have part of the game figured out

and for that reason im going with eagles -3.5

damn that was convincing

you know how much i hate -3.5 lines

but i hate losing and watching under games more

but despite my order of hate

im taking under 43


 PICKS

 PHI -3.5                 U43
       0.5 unit            0.5 units

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s