Week 8: SEA @ DET

INTRO: our gambling analysis happens over g-chat while we work at our separate jobs several thousand miles apart. slindblo’s chats are in blue on the left, rj_gray’s are in purple and on the right.

Current line: DET -3, O/U 49


now i lean Det on this one

i think they are good
whats the line

-3

Det

O/U 49

want a good stat?
you know how i feel about stats

teams coming off a bye after london game are 13-1-2 ATS since 2015

woah

and thats Sea?

well i dont see how we bet against that

in my head im now discounting all the Det reasons i had

also, teams cover 63% of the time coming off of a bye and then playing on the road

seattle has been my team to bet on this year

which doesnt make sense because i hate them and pete carroll

i have a soft spot for russell wilson because he was a good fantasy QB for me

but he is such a boner

youre allowed to have one soft spot for one boner
but other than that i agree with you

the thing that scares me most is a backdoor

cover from the king of backdoor covers, matthew stafford
however matt stafford is the king of backdoors when they are underdogs

this would require him to comeback and win

by more than 3

thats true

i forgot that seattle almost beat the rams

the lions beat the Pats

and their run game looks amazing

offense HOT

hawks run d is kinda weak

ranked 24th in yds

and detroit’s rush game is hot

which is weird to say

but kerryon is amazing

i know

awkward looking back though

hes too tall

he should switch heights with drew brees

win win

saints would need to toss in a draft pick though to make that trade happen

yeah prob 3rd-4th round

both teams have a passing game

lions have a run game

i think you gotta roll with the run

ive gotten burned betting against det this year

they are 5-1 ATS and 5-1 hitting overs

sea is 2-4 hitting overs

no crowd for Sea

i think i gotta go with my gut here

which is

Det -3

well seattle has lost 3 times

all by a TD or less

against den, chi, LAR

they are the better team

and coming off bye

im taking sea+3

damn

see ya on the courts my friend


 

  PICKS

DET -3                SEA +3
       1 unit                  1 unit        

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