NFL Week 14: NO @ TB

Current Line: NO -10, O/U 54.5

let’s talk NO
ok
they were brought back to earth last week

but the bucs have already beat the saints and i think sean payton is a way better coach than dirk kutter (sp?).  Actually I dont know that the NFL know how to spell his name

so i have a theory

week 14 is fantasy playoffs

and i think that people are hoping for points 

so i think they bet overs more

thats in interesting theory

so vegas inflates the numbers

last year  on week 14, unders went 9-5

i think the public bettors bet the overs and drive the numbers higher

so you lean under for this game?
i do

also thunderstorms potential in TB on sunday

80% chance of rain

thats driven the line down

its at 54.5 after opening at 57.5

so weather might throw a wrench in my plan

NO has actually played pretty well in outdoor games despite what the public thinks

but -10 is a big line so that might be factored in

i just think there is no way Sean Payton loses to the bucs twice

and he’ll make sure of it

this is also TB’s 3rd home game in a row
probably sick of their families

im betting NO unless you convince me otherwise

I like NO too

i hate double digit road favorites

especially in a divisional game

i’m going under 54.5

riding this theory

im NO -10

PICKS
Under 54.5           NO -10

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